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Australian food preferences and behaviour have been impacted by the pandemic and there seems little chance of going back to previous habits in the short-term.  In addition, ethical and environmental aspects of food have crystallised in importance as these issues become more urgent.  Our report is based on a September 2020 survey.

$55.00

Opinion polls conducted before the 2019 federal election all got it wrong by a similarly large margin.  An investigation by #AMSRO (Association of Market and Social Research Organisations) concluded that:

“The most likely reason why the polls underestimated the first preference vote for the LNP and overestimated it for Labor was because the samples were unrepresentative and inadequately adjusted.

The polls were likely to have been skewed towards the more politically engaged and better educated voters with this bias not corrected.

As a result, the polls over-represented Labor voters.

Pollsters share a common difficulty in struggling to establish contact with and gain the cooperation of a representative sample of voters – irrespective of methodology.  This conclusion is broadly similar to that reached by the reviews into the performance of the 2015 UK polls and the 2016 US polls”.

 

After this excoriating assessment, how can we more accurately predict the outcome of the next federal election, which will most likely be held between August 2021 and April 2022?

$55.00
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