Reports

Reports

Reports

 

Low fossil fuel consumption vehicle sales scenarios (June 2020).  Scenarios for sales to 2030.

New vehicle sales outlook (June 2020).  Forecasts from 2020 to 2025.  Includes analysis of drivers and scenarios for the rate of recovery.

Population Growth Scenarios (April 2020).  The potential impacts of COVID-19 on Australia's population growth rate.

Dashboard of consumer spending indicators for Australia.  Our monthly dashboard of 27 indicators has been supplemented by a further eight in order to better gauge the impact of the tragic bushfires and coronavirus COVID-19 on Australia's already weak growth rate.  Updated 15 May 2020.

Australia in 2020 (February 2020): an abrupt change in consumer psychology on the economy and the environment.  The outlook for the economy and consumer spending.  Opportunities and threats.

 

Collapse in Australian consumer spending.  Consumer spending growth has slumped, to September 2019, despite recent attempts at fiscal and monetary stimulus.  This report explains why and provides a strategy for success.

Drought in Australia (November 2019).  Consumer expectations about drought, concern about adequate water supply, and links with climate change beliefs.

Alcohol consumption projections (October 2019).  Analysis and quantification of the drivers of alcohol consumption in Australia.  Projections to 2030.

Why Labor lost the seemingly unlosable Australian federal election in 2019. August 2019.  A new way to predict future federal elections.

Predicting inaccuracy in economic forecasts.  July 2019.  Essential reading for risk management.

What will Australian consumers do with their 2019-20 income tax cuts? (July 2019)

Young Australian adults in 2019 (June 2019)The willingness to spend of young adults (age 18 to 29) has been at a record low since late 2016.  Their willingness to spend is lower than for older adults.  Their highest priority is saving, followed by loan repayment.  This change in behaviour has been damaging for those consumer marketing organisations that disproportionally target young adults.  Why has this happened and is there any improvement in sight?

Australia's economic outlook (May 2019).  Official economic forecasts have only just been revised downwards, despite months of warning signals.  This report provides analysis and a view on the outlook.

Climate change beliefs and the 2019 federal election.  The level of belief in imminent climate change is back to the 2007 level, when it was a major factor in the 2007 election outcome.  This report analyses the implications for the 2019 election.

Searching for a cool change.  Evidence that climate change is starting to influence our choices about where we live.  April 2009.

Thought for food - the key drivers and growth scenarios.  March 2019.

The potential health impacts of Australia's differential rates of population growth, November 2018.  Increases in the prevalence of several diseases is likely without preventive action.

Forecasting: the essential skills.  A wide ranging book which identifies important skills needed for successful forecasting.

 
Resolving climate change.  Beleifs amongst the general public change over time and convictions are not strong enough to force effective action.  How can we change this situation?
 

 

The consumer spending sweetspot.  Analysis of household income, wealth, spending, and willingness to spend by age group.  September 2017.

 

Thought for food - the key drivers and growth scenarios.  March 2019.

Searching for a cool change.  Evidence that climate change is starting to influence our choices about where we live.  April 2009.

Young Australian adults in 2019 (June 2019)The willingness to spend of young adults (age 18 to 29) has been at a record low since late 2016.  Their willingness to spend is lower than for older adults.  Their highest priority is saving, followed by loan repayment.  This change in behaviour has been damaging for those consumer marketing organisations that disproportionally target young adults.  Why has this happened and is there any improvement in sight?

Alcohol consumption projections (October 2019).  Analysis and quantification of the drivers of alcohol consumption in Australia.  Projections to 2030.

Population Growth Scenarios (April 2020).  The potential impacts of COVID-19 on Australia's population growth rate.

New vehicle sales outlook (May 2020).  Forecasts from 2020 to 2025.  Includes analysis of drivers and scenarios for the rate of recovery.